Let’s talk meta-player of the year! the roar data recovery joondalup

Lance Franklin’s only played two of the five games since this table’s origination, thanks to a bum foot. Jack Macrae doesn’t even appear on this Round 4 list – in fact, after Round 5, he was at just 49 points, not even leading his own 1-4 team (that honour was Lachie Hunter’s). Since then, he’s had two dominants (Rounds 7 and 8), one prominent (Round 6), and a great game in Round 9 that missed recognition by just one source.

Stephen Coniglio’s drop from fourth to his current 17th parallels his Giants team’s floundering over the last few rounds, which points out the sad overriding truth about this and by extension every evaluative tool we use – whether it’s human or statistical – a player’s perceived greatness is contingent on how good his team is.

There are corollary versions of this, of course.


Should Gary Ablett have won a Brownlow in 2013 playing for the 8-14 Gold Coast Suns? More generally, does ‘most valuable’ imply the team has high value overall, or that the player imparts the most value to his team?

In the NFL, quite often the de facto leader in the MVP race is the quarterback of the team with the best record in the league. Yet it’s easy to argue that Tom Brady had more impressive seasons when he was carrying an 11-5 on his lonely shoulders, throwing to college rejects for receivers, than when the Patriots went 16-0 and he had a bevvy of talent around him.

Was LeBron James more valuable when he had Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh alongside him in Miami and won two titles, or when he had almost nobody next to him of value (as has too often been the case in his career) and made the finals anyway, only to be smashed by the Warriors or Spurs?

On our current list, the top three players are from Fremantle (currently 12th), Western (13th), and Hawthorn (ninth). Not coincidentally, none of the three men have a teammate with even half their point totals; they’re at least perceived to be the lone wolf in a side that’s not playing well enough so far to make finals. How valuable can you be if your team is still losing?

The next three, by comparison, are from Richmond (second), Melbourne (third), and West Coast (first), and have at least one other teammate in the top 25 (Shannon Hurn is just off the top 20, in 24th, at 99 points for the Eagles). Are they really more valuable because they’re the linchpins on winning teams, or less valuable because they’re not quite as critical to their club’s success?

In the meantime, as always seems to be the case, the ELO-Following Football crystal ball was correct two-thirds of the time last week (it missed the two upsets, plus our shared preference for Richmond). In Round 10, I’m taking Collingwood by 16 on Friday night, and on Saturday it’s Richmond by 42, Sydney by 28, Geelong by 61, the Giants by 12, and West Coast by 20.

On Sunday, my system prefers Melbourne by seven over Adelaide up in Alice Springs, and the Kangaroos by 11 over Fremantle in Perth. Both picks make me nervous (the Demons are 1-4 in Alice Springs, and Freo is unbeaten in Optus), but the system’s record is better than mine this season, and momentum means something in this league, so I’ll roll with it. Good luck! There have been upsets aplenty in the World Cup so far, so be sure to check out our expert tips and predictions for South Korea vs Sweden, Belgium vs Panama and England vs Tunisia and get the good oil on who to tip tonight.

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